Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2.999934e-01 4.033398e-01 0.523708 0.672051 0.847734 1.047031 1.288024
2025-12-14 1.640402e-01 2.840931e-01 0.447190 0.674613 0.973216 1.342080 1.821965
2025-12-21 8.407919e-02 1.961375e-01 0.375992 0.658509 1.064711 1.602724 2.343306
2025-12-28 4.461178e-02 1.449386e-01 0.335510 0.668816 1.185620 1.908509 2.946438
2026-01-04 2.173202e-02 1.056818e-01 0.297198 0.669053 1.286354 2.191269 3.536750
2026-01-11 8.455815e-03 7.207738e-02 0.252792 0.644934 1.341447 2.408769 4.047298
2026-01-18 2.688850e-03 4.936798e-02 0.218388 0.627327 1.399925 2.630639 4.572032
2026-01-25 7.098517e-04 3.595139e-02 0.198336 0.630980 1.491438 2.905383 5.183747
2026-02-01 4.752770e-05 2.306721e-02 0.169240 0.606092 1.526384 3.090386 5.667914
2026-02-08 4.559284e-07 1.824833e-02 0.164013 0.633861 1.659858 3.439411 6.411728
2026-02-15 NaN 1.270144e-02 0.149805 0.635202 1.741256 3.705463 7.036706
2026-02-22 NaN 1.110994e-02 0.153511 0.684031 1.920141 4.142042 7.939634
2026-03-01 NaN 8.666635e-03 0.150001 0.713688 2.065609 4.533564 8.793291
2026-03-08 NaN 5.989579e-03 0.140377 0.723439 2.170810 4.861207 9.557832
2026-03-15 NaN 3.455156e-03 0.124744 0.710106 2.225023 5.101879 10.191012
2026-03-22 NaN 2.249379e-03 0.117897 0.722837 2.336508 5.447879 11.003369
2026-03-29 NaN 1.269056e-03 0.108587 0.724043 2.421454 5.748659 11.749144
2026-04-05 NaN 4.806335e-04 0.093647 0.699017 2.442795 5.933483 12.308533
2026-04-12 NaN 1.418602e-04 0.081789 0.680619 2.476732 6.141516 12.910536
2026-04-19 NaN 4.120105e-05 0.075855 0.684611 2.564749 6.453403 13.693214
2026-04-26 NaN 1.020770e-06 0.064404 0.658306 2.574015 6.615291 14.225848
2026-05-03 NaN 2.835451e-08 0.064457 0.687759 2.727864 7.059780 15.248370
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.059412 0.689196 2.808686 7.364981 16.038581